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Ukraina NATO-kutse väljavaated

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A NATO summit will take place in Vilnius on 11-12 July. The world is eagerly awaiting how the issue of Ukraine’s invitation to the Alliance will be resolved, Saadetised, IFBG.

It should be noted that granting Ukraine an invitation would be a very good strategic decision for the Alliance and the whole collective West. Ukraine – having received security guarantees and official support – will become a serious geopolitical and economic player, and consequently NATO and the West will have a reliable partner who shares their values.

An invitation to join NATO would greatly accelerate Ukraine’s reform process in various areas, especially defence and security. Given that more than 82 percent of Ukrainians support NATO membership, such a move would also strengthen democracy in the country, further consolidate the population’s ambitions, and boost the implementation of Western values.

Interestingly, Ukrainians are not alone in welcoming Ukraine into NATO. A very large percentage of citizens of the Alliance member states are in favour of such an enlargement. Apart from the fact that 21 member states of the bloc support the procedure for Ukraine’s immediate admission, residents also share the opinion of politicians. According to the results of sociological research, conducted by the centre “New Europe”, the percentage ratio of respondents, who support Ukraine’s participation in NATO already at the Vilnius summit is as follows: Americans – 70%, French – 56%, Dutch – 55%, Italians – 53%, Germans – 50%. As can be seen, more than half of the respondents were in favour, while there were very few sharply negative answers.

Kuna NATO pooldab demokraatlikke väärtusi, on liikmesriigid kohustatud arvestama oma kodanike soovidega.

Kuigi skeptikud peavad Ukrainat pikaajaliseks rahalise abi saajaks, saabub sõja lõppemisega taastamisperiood. See periood kujuneb Lääne jaoks majanduslikult huvitavaks, sest ainuüksi viimase aasta jooksul on peetud palju kõnelusi välisinvestoritega. Nad on valmis töötama. Kuid enamik neist soovib turvatagatisi. See on kutse NATO-le, mis oleks nende investorite jaoks kõige vähem kulukas ja tulutoovam demonstratsioon parimatest garantiidest.

Muuhulgas demonstreeriks Ukrainale kutsumine NATO-ga liitumiseks koos järgneva täisliikmeks saamisega enamikule Ukraina põgenikest, et on võimalik turvaliselt koju naasta. Paljud riigist põgenenutest lihtsalt kardavad naasta ja lapsed koju tagasi viia, kus peaaegu iga päev toimub küüniline rahumeelsete linnade pommitamine. Juba Vilniuse tippkohtumisel saavad alliansi liikmed maailmale demonstreerida oma toetust Ukraina rahvale ja anda neile kauaoodatud võimaluse oma tulevikku planeerida.

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To the contrary, if the invitation to Ukraine is not extended, Russia will get a strong signal that its bloody policy of invasion will not be punished and that it can restrain NATO’s expansion. The Kremlin will, as before, see Ukraine as a bargaining chip. In turn, the Alliance will discredit itself not only in the eyes of the Ukrainian people, but also among its own citizens, who wholeheartedly support NATO’s expansion.

Ukraine’s NATO membership would play a key role in strengthening Europe’s security architecture. The long-term peace and security of the European continent depends on Ukraine providing guarantees. Given that the Ukrainian army is by far the largest, most combat-ready army in Europe, NATO would be prudent to seize the chance to strengthen its position. After all, the Russian army has not been able to defeat the Ukrainian Armed Forces for more than a year. The synergy of the UAF with NATO forces would create a force that could keep Russia in its place, and ensure sustainable and long-lasting peace.

By providing Ukraine with security guarantees and its support, NATO will negate all of Russia’s imperialist ideas and demonstrate the impossibility of a second attack. Ukraine has shown determination and fearlessness over the last year and a half. It is time for the free world to put aside its fears and present a united front in support of Ukraine.

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